Alperen Sengun Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets · Jan 21, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has posted 7.0 assists per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's posted over the course of the year.
Alperen Sengun has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
The Houston Rockets rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Rockets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year at home, which ought to boost opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has tallied 3.1 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alperen Sengun will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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