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Alexandre Sarr

Alexandre Sarr Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2025

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Alexandre Sarr Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Alex Sarr has totaled 20.0 points per game over the last 5 games while at home, 6.6 more than he's totaled in all games this year at home.
  • Alex Sarr has attempted 6.5 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
  • The rate of three-point shots made against Kel'el Ware has been very high (44.8%) when he is on the road and matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (97th percentile).
  • The Washington Wizards have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court.
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Washington Wizards grade out 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Alex Sarr places in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.2 fouls per game this year.
  • The Wizards check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • The Wizards are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from facing the most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year (the Heat).
  • The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Kel'el Ware has been very low this year (2.1 free throws per game when they are playing at home: 3rd percentile).

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