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Alexandre Sarr

Alexandre Sarr Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2025

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards

 
 
 
Alexandre Sarr Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Alex Sarr slots into the 75th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc without the home court advantage, putting up 4.6 per game this year.
  • The Wizards have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road in terms of 3-point attempts.
  • The rate of 3-point shots drained against Bam Adebayo has been quite high (42.3%) when defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Alex Sarr has successfully made 38.8% of his shot attempts from the field this year, placing him in the 21st percentile out of all players in the league.
  • Alex Sarr has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
  • The 10th-most lethargic pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Washington Wizards.
  • The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Washington Wizards.
  • The Wizards have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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