Alex Caruso Steals - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2025

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Steals

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets · Mar 3, 2025

Updated Mar 4, 2025 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+155/-210).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -220 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has compiled 1.9 steals per game this year at home, putting him among the best in the NBA by this metric in recent games: 98th percentile.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
Alex Caruso stands to see a rise in productivity in all stat categories as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Thunder.

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