Alex Caruso Steals - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Steals

Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has compiled 1.2 steals per game this year at home, placing him among the best in the NBA by this metric over this stretch: 90th percentile.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Chicago Bulls.
Alex Caruso is expected to see a spike in effectiveness in all stat categories due to possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (77th percentile).
The Bulls have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.

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