Alex Caruso Steals - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Steals

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has averaged 1.5 steals per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 96th percentile.
Alex Caruso will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Alex Caruso places in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, registering an enormous 2.8 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Bulls.
The Heat have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Bulls.

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