Alex Caruso Steals - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Steals

Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 1:44 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +165 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has totaled 1.7 steals per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile.
Alex Caruso has tallied 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 4.3 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Bulls.

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (88th percentile).
Alex Caruso will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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