Alex Caruso Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/18/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Rebounds

Chicago Bulls vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 18, 2024

Updated Mar 18, 2024 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+130/-177).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -177.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has averaged 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Alex Caruso is expected to see a spike in productivity for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Alex Caruso places in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.4 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Chicago Bulls.

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