Alex Caruso Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 26, 2024 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-148/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has tallied 4.4 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
Alex Caruso has averaged 32.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.6 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (86th percentile).
The Chicago Bulls have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Pelicans have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Bulls.
This year when they are away from home, their opposition has secured 11.4 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans (maintaining possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense).
Alex Caruso will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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