Alex Caruso Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Rebounds

Chicago Bulls vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 3, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has put up 1.2 offensive boards per game this year at home, putting him among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric over this stretch of games: 76th percentile.
Alex Caruso has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 25 games on the road, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Chicago Bulls.
The Bulls check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Sacramento Kings have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's been called for overall this year.
The Bulls have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year.

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