Alex Caruso Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 29, 2024 2:12 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has totaled 3.6 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.0 higher than he's totaled in all games this year on the road.
Alex Caruso has played 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 7.1 more than he's played over the course of the season on the road.
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Playing at home, the Portland Trail Blazers have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Bulls.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Bulls.
Alex Caruso will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to lower player performance in all facets of the game.

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