Alex Caruso Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Rebounds

Chicago Bulls vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has averaged 1.3 offensive rebounds per game this year at home, placing him among the NBA's best in this category over this stretch of games: 78th percentile.
Alex Caruso has played 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's played over the course of the season.
The Bulls rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have brought down 9.7 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Warriors (diminishing possessions that could otherwise spark extra opportunities for offense).
Alex Caruso will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually increases player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Alex Caruso lands in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
The Bulls will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from competing against the 8th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Warriors).

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