Alex Caruso Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has put up 1.1 offensive boards per game this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric in recent days.
Alex Caruso has played 28.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's played in all games this year.
The Knicks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost opportunities for the Chicago Bulls.
The Bulls rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The New York Knicks have given up the 6th-least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
Alex Caruso will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player performance in all facets of the game.

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