Alex Caruso Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Rebounds

Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has posted 1.3 offensive rebounds per game this year at home, ranking him among the league's hottest in this category over this stretch: 78th percentile.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to more plays for the Bulls.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls rank 6thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Alex Caruso will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually increases player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Bulls.
The Pacers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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