Alex Caruso Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Rebounds

Chicago Bulls vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+124/-158).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -158.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has posted 1.3 offensive boards per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this standard.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which should boost plays for the Chicago Bulls.
The Bulls have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alex Caruso is expected to see an increase in performance across the board on account of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The least up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Bulls.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has snagged 11.9 offensive boards per game (7th-most in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers (retaining possessions that can create bonus chances for offense).

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