Alex Caruso Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Rebounds

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has put up an impressive 1.3 offensive rebounds per game this season, a big improvement over his 0.6 offensive rebounds per game last season.
Alex Caruso will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Alex Caruso places in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, registering an enormous 2.8 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Bulls.
The Heat have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Bulls.
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have nabbed 11.8 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat (saving possessions that can bring about further opportunities for offense).

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