Alex Caruso Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Rebounds

Chicago Bulls vs Orlando Magic · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 4:03 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 6 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Magic have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Alex Caruso will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has averaged 0.0 technical fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year.

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