Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 6/16/2025

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers · Jun 16, 2025

Updated Jun 16, 2025 8:48 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-210/+155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +165 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has converted 46.5% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 10.2% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season.
Alex Caruso has been on the court for 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year.
The Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing at home.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA while on their home court this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Thunder.

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has tallied 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 2.3 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
This year, opposing starting PGs have tallied 4.6 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the league) against the Pacers, marking this as a difficult matchup.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 8thworst in in the NBA as the home team with just 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Pacers may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted just 3.5 free throws per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the NBA).

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