Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 5/13/2025

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets · May 13, 2025

Updated May 13, 2025 9:39 PM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has sunk 2.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.
In terms of scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 121.8 points per game measures as the strongest in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Alex Caruso has sunk 87.5% of his free throws over the last 15 games at home, 10.7% more than he's sunk in all games this season on his home court.
Alex Caruso should see a rise in productivity in all facets of the game in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should decrease plays for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 10thworst in in the league while on their home court with only 10.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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