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Alex Caruso

Alex Caruso Points
Player Prop - 5/7/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-118/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Alex Caruso has made 2.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from three over the course of the year.

The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Alex Caruso has made 89.3% of his free throws over the last 15 games at home, 12.5% higher than he's converted overall this year at home.

Alex Caruso is expected to see an increase in performance in all facets of the game as a result of having the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Thunder.

With respect to getting to the charity stripe, the Thunder's feeble 20.7 foul shots per game rates 7th-worst in the league this year.

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