Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2025

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 9, 2025

Updated Apr 10, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has successfully made 42.0% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 9.4% higher than he's made from three over the course of the year away from home.
When it comes to shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 125.3 points per game ranks highest in the league over the last 25 games.
Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PGs have posted 29.2 points per game (most in the league) against the Suns, branding this as a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
Alex Caruso has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 18.3% more than he's made overall this season.

Favors Under

The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in plays today from sharing the court with the 3rd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Phoenix Suns).
The Thunder have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Alex Caruso will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to reduce stat production in all stat categories.

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