Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2025

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 9, 2025

Updated Mar 9, 2025 4:59 PM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has converted 56.4% of his treys over the last 10 games, 22.5% more than he's made from three overall this year.
The 3rd-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Alex Caruso will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to improve player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 48.0% clip, Alex Caruso's field goal effectiveness has dropped this year to 38.8%.
As a team, the Thunder have been lousy at getting to the free-throw line: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, averaging just 19.9 foul shots per game.

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