Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2025

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 7, 2025

Updated Mar 8, 2025 4:35 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has sunk 50.8% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 18.6% higher than he's converted overall this year.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have shot 51.5% on field goals (highest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, branding this as a positive matchup.
The Thunder have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

As a team, the Thunder have been lousy at drawing fouls: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, averaging a mere 20.0 free throws per game.

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