Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2025

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 2, 2025

Updated Mar 3, 2025 4:55 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has sunk 68.8% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 35.5% higher than he's made from three overall this season.
The Spurs have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should raise opportunities for the Thunder.
The Thunder have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has successfully made just 2.3 field goals per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 3.5 rate last season.
The Thunder have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been bad at drawing fouls: 4th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a measly 19.9 free throws per game.
Alex Caruso stands to see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this game.

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