Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2025

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 8, 2025

Updated Feb 9, 2025 4:04 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league while playing on the road this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).
The Thunder rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alex Caruso has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (7th-highest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has converted a measly 26.4% of his three-point attempts this year, significantly less than his 41.2 mark last year.
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 9.9 points per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, marking this as a hard matchup for offensive production.
As it relates to drawing fouls, the Oklahoma City Thunder's poor 19.6 free throws per game places 2nd-worst in the NBA this year.
Alex Caruso will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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