Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2025

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 7, 2025

Updated Feb 8, 2025 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 4th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Thunder will likely see an increase in opportunities today from facing the speediest pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Toronto Raptors).
The Thunder rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alex Caruso figures to see a spike in performance in all facets of the game on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has averaged a measly 5.3 points per game this year, significantly lower than his 10.0 points per game last year.
Relative to last year's 41.2% mark, Alex Caruso's 3-point efficiency has declined this year to 26.4%.
When it comes to getting to the foul line, the Thunder's feeble 19.4 foul shots per game ranks 2nd-worst in the NBA this year.

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