Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2025

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 5, 2025

Updated Feb 6, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-102).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 6th-quickest pace home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alex Caruso figures to get a boost in production across the board as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has converted a lowly 35.4% of his field goals this year, quite a bit less than his 48.0 rate last year.
Alex Caruso has made a measly 26.6% of his three-pointers this season, a sizeable decrease from his 41.2 mark last season.
The Suns have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Thunder.
When it comes to getting to the charity stripe, the Thunder's subpar 19.2 free throw attempts per game comes in as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.

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