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Alex Caruso

Alex Caruso Points
Player Prop - 4/19/2024

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Alex Caruso has made 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's converted in all games this season while playing away from home.

Alex Caruso has averaged 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 6.8 more than he's averaged overall this year on the road.

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 7th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Alex Caruso has converted 83.3% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 9.3% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Alex Caruso has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (89th percentile).

The Bulls check in as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The rate of 3-pointers drained against Caleb Martin has been quite low (34.3%) when he is at home and squaring off against opposing starting SFs this year (25th percentile).

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Chicago Bulls.

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