Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

New York Knicks vs Chicago Bulls · Apr 14, 2024

Updated Apr 14, 2024 5:04 PM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has converted 54.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 7.4% more than he's put through the net overall this year away from home.
Alex Caruso has sunk 3.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season while playing on the road.
Alex Caruso has averaged 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Bulls have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team.
The Bulls check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (89th percentile).
The Bulls rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 33.3% on shots from the field (lowest in the NBA) against the Knicks, resulting in a tough matchup.
The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Chicago Bulls.
The matchup against the Knicks may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (9th-least in the league).

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