Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Chicago Bulls · Apr 11, 2024

Updated Apr 11, 2024 11:01 PM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has successfully made 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's made from three overall this season.
Alex Caruso has averaged 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 7.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
Over the last 16 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have put up 19.5 points per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Pistons, marking this as a favorable matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Bulls will likely see an increase in opportunities today from competing against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Pistons).
The Bulls rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Alex Caruso lands in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 2.6 fouls per game this year.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA this year.
Alex Caruso will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease stat production across the board.

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