Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Boston Celtics · Mar 23, 2024

Updated Mar 24, 2024 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has totaled 14.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's totaled in all games this year.
Alex Caruso has sunk 3.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season.
Alex Caruso has averaged 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 6.7 three attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Celtics, branding this as a favorable matchup.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Bulls grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA on their home court with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated in all games this season.
The Bulls have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year.
The Chicago Bulls will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Boston Celtics).
The matchup vs. Boston may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Boston Celtics are on the road (5th-least in the league).

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