Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Houston Rockets vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 21, 2024

Updated Mar 22, 2024 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has attempted 9.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Alex Caruso has converted 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.
Alex Caruso has tallied 31.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games on the road, 4.3 more than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
The Chicago Bulls are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets).
The Chicago Bulls have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Alex Caruso registers in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 2.6 fouls per game this year.
In regard to scoring, the Chicago Bulls's subpar 112.0 points per game measures as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have averaged 24.8% on threes (weakest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
Alex Caruso will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce player production for all stats.

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