Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 3/18/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 18, 2024

Updated Mar 19, 2024 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has converted 5.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's converted over the course of the season.
Alex Caruso has converted 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season.
Alex Caruso has averaged 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a favorable one for field goals; the opposition's starting SGs have put up the highest FG% in the NBA this year (51.5%).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Alex Caruso places in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.4 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Bulls have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league while playing at home this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Chicago Bulls.
The matchup against Portland may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Trail Blazers are away from home (2nd-least in the NBA).

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