Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Utah Jazz vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 1:56 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-127/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has made a terrific 3.4 shots made from the field per game this season, significantly more than his 2.0 rate last season.
Alex Caruso has attempted 6.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
Alex Caruso has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.5 more than he's been on the court for overall this season.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 2.4 three-pointers per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Jazz, identifying this as a positive matchup.
The Bulls are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz).

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (86th percentile).
The Bulls check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The matchup against the Utah Jazz is a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.8 foul shots per game this year (14th-least in the league).
Alex Caruso will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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