Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 4, 2024

Updated Mar 5, 2024 3:03 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-160/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has attempted 5.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. Sacramento is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Kings are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have averaged the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).
The Bulls rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team has captured 9.0 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings (turning over possessions that could otherwise result in added chances for offense).
Alex Caruso has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 23.3% higher than he's made in all games this season.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Alex Caruso measures in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.6 fouls per game this year.
When it comes to scoring, the Bulls's lackluster 111.7 points per game comes in as the 6th-weakest in the league this year.
The least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from sharing the court with the 9th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).
Alex Caruso is expected to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this game.

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