Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 3:13 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Alex Caruso ranks in the 82nd percentile for 3-point performance with a an impressive 39.7% rate this year.
Alex Caruso has played 31.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 higher than he's played in all games this season.
The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Milwaukee Bucks are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 28th-most buckets per game in the league this year (7.0).
The Bulls have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this year.
The Bulls have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year has been the Bulls.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 7th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the Bulls.
The matchup vs. Milwaukee may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Bucks are the visiting squad (9th-least in the NBA).

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