Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 2:08 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has made 40.6% of his 3-point shots this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Alex Caruso has averaged 32.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 45.0% on three-pointers (27th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons, identifying this as a positive matchup.
The Chicago Bulls are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from facing the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pistons).
The Chicago Bulls have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Alex Caruso rates in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.4 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
The Chicago Bulls have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.

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