Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 12:14 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has successfully made 2.1 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.7 higher than he's made overall this year while playing away from home.
Alex Caruso has tallied 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 more than he's tallied overall this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls grade out 10thbest in in the league away from home with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Playing at home, the Cleveland Cavaliers have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Alex Caruso has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 25.3% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has been called for 3.5 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's been called for in all games this season.
The Bulls have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 3.9 three attempts per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the Cavaliers, making this a challenging matchup.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.
The Bulls will likely see a decline in plays today from being pitted against the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).

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