Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 12, 2024 11:13 PM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 5.8 rate, Alex Caruso's points per game have risen this season to 9.8.
Alex Caruso has averaged 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The Chicago Bulls are expected to get a boost in possessions today from being pitted against the fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Hawks).
The Bulls check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alex Caruso has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 25.3% more than he's converted over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has accumulated 3.5 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated overall this season.
In terms of shooting, the Bulls's poor 111.5 points per game comes in as the 5th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Atlanta Hawks have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; their opposition has attempted a massive 23.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (5th-most in the league).

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