Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 8, 2024

Updated Feb 9, 2024 1:00 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has compiled 12.2 points per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 3.5 more than he's compiled overall this season on the road.
Alex Caruso has converted 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year away from his home court.
Alex Caruso has tallied 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's tallied overall this season.
The matchup against Memphis is a positive one for three-point attempts; when the Grizzlies are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3).
This year when they are away from home, opposing teams have captured 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies (reducing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Chicago Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 12 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, making it tough to get to the foul line.