Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 29, 2024 2:17 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has converted 3.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season when playing away from home.
Alex Caruso has played 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 7.1 more than he's played over the course of the season on the road.
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Playing at home, the Portland Trail Blazers have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alex Caruso has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 24.9% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Portland is a tough one for shot attempts from the field; when the Trail Blazers are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least shot attempts per game in the league this year (8.4).
The least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Bulls.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Bulls.