Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Houston Rockets · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 11, 2024 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has attempted 9.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
Alex Caruso has attempted 5.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Alex Caruso has averaged 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 more than he's averaged overall this season.
This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 2.4 threes per game (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, creating a favorable matchup.
Alex Caruso will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally boosts player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Alex Caruso has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (77th percentile).
The most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls will likely see a decline in plays today from competing against the 2nd-slowest pace visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Bulls rank 9thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with only 9.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games.
While playing away from home, the Houston Rockets have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (13.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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