Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 12:44 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Over the last 15 games, opposing teams have averaged 31.8 three attempts per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets, making this a tough matchup.
The Chicago Bulls check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of offense, the Bulls's lackluster 108.1 points per game comes in as the worst in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The least up-tempo pace offense in the league this year has been the Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Hornets).
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have brought down 12.4 offensive boards per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Hornets (lengthening possessions that can bring about added opportunities for offense).
Over the last 17 games when they are at home, opposing clubs have attempted 22.8 foul shots per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Charlotte Hornets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

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