Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 30, 2023

Updated Dec 31, 2023 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Alex Caruso places in the 91st percentile for three-point efficiency with a a stellar 43.9% rate this year.
The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the 76ers are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot for the 27th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (46.2%).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Bulls grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
When playing on the road, the Philadelphia 76ers have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Alex Caruso has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 26.7% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Alex Caruso rates in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.3 fouls per game this year.
In terms of offense, the Chicago Bulls's poor 111.0 points per game measures as the 2nd-fewest in the league over the last 5 games.
The least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Bulls.

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