Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Alex Caruso rates in the 90th percentile for 3-point performance with a a very good 43.7% rate this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which should boost plays for the Chicago Bulls.
The Bulls have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alex Caruso is expected to see an increase in performance across the board on account of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

In regard to shooting, the Bulls's unimpressive 108.8 points per game at home comes in as the 3rd-weakest in the league over the last 10 games.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 11.7 field goal attempts per game (10th-fewest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
The least up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Bulls.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has snagged 11.9 offensive boards per game (7th-most in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers (retaining possessions that can create bonus chances for offense).
In comparison to last year's 79.2% rate, Alex Caruso's foul-shot prowess has regressed this year to 69.2%.

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