Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Chicago Bulls · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alex Caruso has successfully made 45.9% of his 3-pointers this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league.
The matchup vs. the Philadelphia 76ers is a hard one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (100.0).
The 76ers have played at the 7th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise opportunities for the Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alex Caruso has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 16.7% more than he's made over the course of the season without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

With respect to scoring, the Bulls's feeble 109.9 points per game settles in as the 5th-fewest in the league this year.
The slowest pace team in the NBA this year has been the Bulls.
With the home court advantage, the Philadelphia 76ers have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 13 games when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have attempted 22.9 free throws per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the 76ers, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.
Alex Caruso figures to suffer a reduction in performance for all stats in light of being on the road in this contest.

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