Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls · Dec 14, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 48.4% clip, Alex Caruso's shooting prowess has spiked this season to 55.2%.
Alex Caruso has successfully made a terrific 1.6 threes per game this season, significantly more than his 0.9 mark last season.
The matchup against Miami is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Heat are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.4).
The Bulls will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-most up-tempo pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Heat).
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Chicago Bulls have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The most sluggish tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
Alex Caruso will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually reduces stat production across the board.

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