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Alex Caruso

Alex Caruso Points
Player Prop - 12/12/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Bulls rank 9thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 12.2 offensive boards per game this year.

This year, opposing squads have brought down 10.5 offensive boards per game (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in more chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to offense, the Bulls's feeble 109.3 points per game while at home ranks 4th-lowest in the NBA this year.

Over the last 15 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have shot 38.8% on three-pointers (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, making this a positive matchup.

The Bulls have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Bulls.

Over the last 12 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have attempted 24.3 free throws per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

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