Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have averaged 35.3% on threes (9th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, labeling this as a challenging matchup.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Chicago Bulls.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls grade out 6thbest in in the league while playing on the road with 11.9 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are away from home, their opposition has attempted 21.3 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Bulls have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
This year when they are away from home, their opposition has captured 11.9 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Bucks (retaining possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).

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