Alex Caruso Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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Alex Caruso

NBA · Player Props

Alex Caruso

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Chicago Bulls · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 1:52 AM EST

Analysis

Alex Caruso Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 48.4% rate, Alex Caruso's shooting performance has increased this season to 56.0%.
Alex Caruso has sunk an impressive 47.3% of his 3-point attempts this season, a significant increase from his 36.9 mark last season.
The Chicago Bulls will likely see a rise in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Spurs).
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls grade out 3rdbest in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have grabbed 9.6 offensive boards per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Spurs (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about added chances for offense).

Favors Under

In regard to offense, the Bulls's feeble 105.0 points per game as the home team places 2nd-lowest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have shot 29.3% on three-pointers (6th-lowest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, identifying this as a hard matchup.
The most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
Alex Caruso stands to see a decline in effectiveness in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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